Different variations of the old adage “You don’t know what you have until it’s gone,” kept popping into my head this week. With all the dumbassery (props to the Lex and Terry show for that word) that has come out not just this week, but all season about football players at both the college (Jameis Winston) and pro level (Ray Rice, Ray McDonald, Adrian Peterson), it just seemed like a fitting phrase. Not to mention the injuries that piled up in week 2 for many teams.
Some of the losses are going to affect their respective teams. However, it also brings about opportunities for those teams to really see what they have in their backups. For fantasy football owners, this also gives a chance to show your genius or dumbassery to the rest of your peers. I’m not talking about picking up Kansas City’s Knile Davis, but who’s going to finally take a chance on Travis Kelce? Who is overlooking Niles Paul in Washington because of Logan Paulson being listed ahead of him on the depth chart in Washington?
Those are just a couple examples that may be a little more well-known, but you get the gist. The second level thinking is what separates the best from everyone else in fantasy football.
Now that I’ve given my food for thought for the week, let’s move on to my dumbassery for the salary cap frenzy this week, enjoy!
Drew Brees ($9100) – The Saints are 0-2 despite good performances the past two weeks from their offense. I look for the Brees/Graham connection to carry over as they are also at home for the first time this season. Add to that all the Adrian Peterson drama coming out of Minnesota, not only will their heads not be right, but their defense just isn’t good enough to stop the Saints offense. I’m optimistic that Brees will throw for over 300 yards and 3 TD’s this week, which is enough for me to justify the 9100 salary that comes with him.
Kirk Cousins ($6800) – This may seem like a longshot pick, but Cousins played well in RG3’s absence last season, and he was better than Griffin during the whole preseason. Even though he’s going against Philly this week, he has better command of the offense and is more comfortable in the pocket. It’s a perfect storm of sorts, as he has a low salary with a ceiling close to the clouds. A multi-TD game isn’t impossible. I expect he’ll make a lot of noise this week.
Diamond in the rough QB
Ryan Fitzpatrick ($6400) – Fitzpatrick has always been a hit or miss fantasy player, but he’s a smart QB that isn’t afraid to take shots down the field. He’s has a favorable matchup against the Giants secondary and enough weapons on offense with Arian Foster, Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins to give New York problems in the passing game. Somewhere in the range of 250 yds and at least one TD isn’t unrealistic, and with the low salary it could pay off big in a big tourney.
Must Have RB’s
DeMarco Murray ($8700) – The past two weeks, Murray has been one of the best backs in the league. As long as he stays healthy, he’s going to get a lot of touches, which is going to translate into a lot of fantasy points. Expect the heavy workload to continue against St. Louis and for him to easily eclipse 100 yards and get a TD.
Gio Bernard ($8500) – Bernard has done nothing but ball out this season. Like Murray above, as long as he’s healthy, he’s gonna have a big role in Cincy’s offense. He’s a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses, and will provide a few explosive plays that will change the course of the game.
Diamond in the Rough RB
Terrance West ($5800) – I know I rolled with West last week, but he gave a solid performance. He’s going to get around 20 touches again this week, runs hard and plays with a chip on his shoulder. As long as his price stays below $6000 and he’s starting, I’ll take him no questions asked. Even if he doesn’t get 100 yards in this game, I think he’ll offset it by finding the endzone.
Must have WR’s
Brandon Marshall ($8200) – After last week’s performance, one may think that his “injury” was more of a hoax. He has a favorable matchup against a Jet’s secondary that was torched by the Packers last week. Cutler should find him for more than 100 yards and a TD or two, which in my mind will be worth his salary.
Calvin Johnson ($9000) – The Lions are at home against the Packers. It’s a matchup that has Wild West shootout written all over it. To me, that means Megatron getting a lot of passes from his Starscream (Stafford). Look for couple TD’s to set him over the top this week.
Jeremy Maclin ($6300) – Divisional game, Maclin has done enough to prove he can be a top WR for a team. Foles will look his way often, and Maclin has been consistent the last two weeks, something I think will happen again this week.
Diamond in the Rough WR
Brian Quick ($5200) – For the second week, I’ve had a hard time choosing a diamond WR, as there are multiple candidates at low prices that have high upside. Andrew Hawkins and Golden Tate are in the mix for this, but Quick gets the nod here as he has been the only bright spot in St. Louis. His week 2 stat line was nearly identical to his week 1 stat, minus the TD. I think he eclipses 100 yards this week and gets a TD.
Must Have TE
Jimmy Graham ($8400) – See Drew Brees above. Graham will get his touches, and Minnesota doesn’t have the personnel to stop him. A 2nd straight multi-TD game is highly possible which would again make him a top TE play this week.
Diamond in the Rough TE
Niles Paul ($5000) – He may not be the diamond due to the fact that he has been mentioned by a lot this week, but I like his price tag and I’m not sure Travis Kelce will get a TD this week for Kansas City, which gives Paul the nod here. He’s athletic in the mold of his teammate Jordan Reed, except without the concussion issues (knock on wood). Cousins will look to spread the ball and is playing for a permanent starting spot in my mind, and Paul may help him secure that spot with a TD and 75-80 yards.
I know this is last minute and I apologize, next week’s should be up before Sunday. Until then, kill your leagues.